Watch Your Neighbor: A Volatility Spillover in ASEAN-5 Stock Exchange

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21512/bbr.v10i1.5400

Keywords:

Volatility pattern, ASEAN, stock market

Abstract

In the process of financial markets integration, this research was conducted to investigate the phenomenon of the transmission of stock return volatility among stock market in five ASEAN countries. Those were Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand. The research was important because when the interdependence of financial markets had increased, changes in asset prices in the market were not only influenced by the shock in the market but also by its response to asset price volatility that occurred in other countries. Information about the volatility spillover between markets was important for investors to the portfolio selection process. Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) method was used on a daily time series stock return data obtained by accessing www.bloomberg.com. The result indicates that the shock in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, and the Philippines stock market will be transmitted to the Indonesia Stock Market with an asymmetric pattern. It has increased intensity after the implementation of the ASEAN Economic Community in December 2015.

Dimensions

Plum Analytics

Author Biographies

sumani sumani, Universitas Katolik Indonesia Atma Jaya

Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Prodi Manajemen

Siti Saadah, Universitas Katolik Indonesia Atma Jaya

Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Prodi Magister Ekonomi Terapan

References

ASEAN. (2015). ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2025 : Financial integration in ASEAN. Retrieved from http://www.bsp.gov.ph/downloads/Publications/FAQs/ASEAN.pdf

Atje, R., & Titiheruw, I. S. (2016). ASEAN capital market integration: The way forward. Retrieved from https://www.csis.or.id/publications/asean-capitalmarket-integration-the-way-forward

Bae, K. H., & Zhang, X. (2015). The cost of stock market integration in emerging markets. Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 44(1), 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajfs.12079

Beck, T., Claessens, S., & Schmukler, S. L. (2013). Financial globalization and crises: Overview. In The evidence and impact of financial globalization. Boston: Elsevier.

Brooks, C. (2014). Introductory econometrics for finance. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Islam, M. A., Islam, M. R., & Siddiqui, M. H. (2014). Stock market volatility: Comparison between Dhaka Stock Exchange and Chittagong Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Sciences, 2(1), 43-52. doi: 10.11648/j.ijefm.20140201.16.

Jan, W., & Jebran, K. (2015). Empirical analyses of volatility spillover from G5 stock markets to Karachi Stock Exchange. Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences (PJCSS), 9(3), 928-939.

Jebran, K. (2014). Dynamic linkages between Asian countries stock markets: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange. Research Journal of Management Sciences, 3(5), 6-13.

Jebran, K., Chen, S., Ullah, I., & Mirza, S. S. (2017). Does volatility spillover among stock markets varies from normal to turbulent periods? Evidence from emerging markets of Asia. The Journal of Finance and Data Science, 3(1-4), 20-30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfds.2017.06.001

Jebran, K., & Iqbal, A. (2016a). Dynamics of volatility spillover between stock market and foreign exchange market: Evidence from Asian countries. Financial Innovation, 2(3), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-016-0021-1.

Jebran, K., & Iqbal, A. (2016b). Examining volatility spillover between Asian countries’ stock markets. China Finance and Economic Review, 4(6), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40589-016-0031-1.

Li, Y., & Giles, D. E. (2015). Modelling volatility spillover effects between developed stock markets and Asian emerging stock markets. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 20(2), 155-177. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1506.

Saadah, S. (2013). Response asymmetry in spillover volatility: An empirical study in the Indonesia and Singapore Stock Market. Indonesian Capital Market Review, 5(2), 74-84. https://doi/org/10.21002/icmr.v5i2.1898.

Srivastava, A., Bhatia, S., & Gupta, P. (2015). Financial crisis and stock market integration: An analysis of select economies. Global Business Review, 16(6), 1127-1142. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150915604519.

Vieira, F. V. (2011). The new international financial crisis: Causes, consequences and perspectives. Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, 31(2), 217-237. http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/S0101-31572011000200003.

Downloads

Published

2019-03-31
Abstract 1103  .
PDF downloaded 340  .